Scenarios 2025

MNLFI 2025 Scenarios

The 20 scenarios to the left describe potential aspects of the library environment of 2025. These scenarios were created through the process of scenario planning and are the result of research and discussions completed by the MNLFI group from October 2010 to the present. They are not intended to be an exhaustive listing of possible futures, nor is there any certainty that any of these scenarios will come to pass.

Ideally, these scenarios will be used by library groups with the assistance of trained MNLFI facilitators, to envision what the year 2025 may look like for those groups.  Learn more about MNLFI facilitated workshops.

If a library is unable to collaborate with the futurists on an event, these scenarios may offer a starting point for a local discussion of possible futures. Use the MNLFI Toolkit to help start this discussion including the Discussion Questions.

A few notes about the scenarios. They are presented in no particular order. Each scenario includes a ranking for impact, probability, and speed unfolding.

  • Impact: The amount of change caused by a given scenario, on a 1-5 scale.
  • Probability: The likelihood that a given scenario will come to pass, on a 1-5 scale.
  • Speed unfolding: The timeframe when we may see a given scenario become fully realized, on a scale of three options: Immediate (1-3 years), Moderate (4-10 years), and Slow (10-25 years)